“Earth itself is telling us there’s nothing to worry about in doubled, or even quadrupled, atmospheric CO2″ (June 2, 2011). According to Anthony Watts, Pat Frank writes excellent essays on climate science. The beaming Anthony helpfully offers a new example of his excellence, copy-and-pasted from his echo chamber partners at The Air Vent: “Future Perfect“, which asserts this comforting “fact”:
Spread the word: the Earth['s] climate sensitivity is 0.090 C/W-m^-2. [This of course begs the question: how did the Earth ever enter or leave an Ice Age in the geological past?]
Anthony Watts and his readers embrace Frank’s dim-witted numerology wish-fulfillment with surprisingly open arms. Frank’s conclusion (based on his intuitive grasp of climatology?) is that all this alleged warming is somehow merely the recovery from the Little Ice Age and that we can pump out as much CO2 as we like.
Once again Excel is put to good use, disproving those dang climatologists and their thinkin’. Nothing like invoking from thin air a “combined cosine function plus a linear trend” to explain everything, without the bother of actually explain anything. If Frank could actually explain why his magic squiggle occurred, he’d actually have something. Sadly, it’s clear that he simply pecked away at Excel until he stumbled across an equation that sort-of matched the historical record.
More of a citizen-scientist’s mind at work: “The rest of the analysis automatically follows.”
My “technical analysis”: Frank has discovered that if you subtract a bunch of numbers from themselves you get zeros! You’ll aways get a flat line when you plot a squiggle that’s a pretty close fit to the data and then remove the squiggle.
Some nuggets from the keenly skeptical comments at Anthony’s blog:
- Andy G55 - “This is the sort of REAL analysis I love to see. propa science !!! well done, mate !!”
- Shaun D - “I agree. This is real science. But I have no idea what it means.”
- Alan the Brit - “Sound, common sense, well thought through, & logially applied, so it won’t be published in the MSM then!”
- Ryan - “Fantastic post Mr Frank, very plausible and difficult to refute.”