NOAA’s End Game on the 2010 Hurricane Season

NOAA’s End Game on the 2010 Hurricane Season“. Gee, Anthony Watts’ use of the phrase “end game” suggests that NOAA’s failing at hurricane prediction. Them dumb scientists don’t know nuthin’!

Or we can struggle all the way past the NOAA article title and read the subtitle: NOAA’s Prediction for Active Season Realized; Slow Eastern Pacific Season Sets Record. Exhausting, huh?

Hurricanes Karl, Igor and  Julia.

Hurricanes Karl, Igor and Julia on Sept. 16. Source: NOAA

What does increased hurricane activity reflect? Warmer oceans.

One thought on “NOAA’s End Game on the 2010 Hurricane Season

  1. “What does increased hurricane activity reflect? Warmer oceans.”

    I agree with you mostly, but here I beg to differ. The relationship between SST and hurricane activity is not straightforward and last season proved it with the extremely low activity over the Pacific.

    I am not sure if higher SST leads to more hurricanes. I am pretty sure though that hurricanes that do exist are more intense, and that hurricanes increasingly are found in places where they’ve never been seen before.

    [You’re right, the interaction is more subtle than I suggested. NOAA’s article title is perhaps more accurate: “Extremely Active Atlantic Hurricane Season was a ‘Gentle Giant’ for U.S.“, with Anthony’s snark coming in last place… – Ben]

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