History suggests: don’t bet on La Nina this year

History suggests: don’t bet on La Nina this year“. Bob Tisdale prepares the troops for the unfortunate reality that the end of the Pacific Ocean’s 2009/10 El Niño current will likely not be the start of a cooling La Niña. It’s probably going to stay warm and perhaps even warm up more in spite of the cooling La Niña influence.

But don’t worry, if you fiddle with the numbers enough you can pretend it’s “natural” and continue to ignore the human contribution to climate change. Especially if you use a ten-year smoothing function.

Climate idiocy at the Monterey Bay Aquarium – cow with a gas mask

Climate idiocy at the Monterey Bay Aquarium – cow with a gas mask“. The Monterey Bay Aquarium had a goofy image in a display about threats facing ocean wildlife (including climate change) and now Anthony Watts can’t “marvel at the sea otters, jellyfish, and the Mola” because “it’s just another political hack.”

Get over yourself, Anthony.

If Sea Level Was Rising, Wouldn’t Someone Have Noticed?

If Sea Level Was Rising, Wouldn’t Someone Have Noticed?” Anthony Watts gives us a post by Steven Goddard, who asks a stupid question and provides a stupid answer.

Short smart answer: the scientists noticed. They’re the ones who measure things.

Somehow alleged-geologist Steven thinks that cherry-picked historical photos from the California coast, a region with notable geological faulting and oil extraction, are conclusive proof that the sea-level has not risen. Also, apparently tides don’t exist. Nor do any other causes of subsidence or uplift.

This is typical of Steven’s posts; a tiny actual fact turned 180°, taken out of context and then used to draw support unwarranted conclusions.

The Gulf oil rig explosion – on the scene photos

The Gulf oil rig explosion – on the scene photos“. Dramatic photos, and a smidgeon of insight, about the Deepwater Horizon rig explosion have been provided to Anthony Watts and he posts it.

Commenters are, of course, noting that “more oil seeps naturally than from human spills“, and that “the Feds have only made the problem worse by their slow and bumbling action/inaction” (maybe this can be spun as Obama’s “Katrina”!!!). There have also been deeply delusional speculations about “deliberate sabotage for political reasons“.

As noted by Climate Progress from the Wall Street Journal;

BP’s “it can’t happen here” mentality is no doubt why it decided to save $500,000 and didn’t bother with “a remote-control shutoff switch that two other major oil producers, Norway and Brazil, require,” the WSJ reported (subs. req’d).

BP knows it can’t blame the feds since it fought efforts to change the voluntary self-regulation laws, the industry opposed mandates for the remote-control shutoff switch, BP sold the Minerals Management Service on a laughable planning scenario — it was “unlikely that an accidental surface or subsurface oil spill would occur from the proposed activities” — and the industry, not the feds, have the relevant equipment to stop the gusher.

NASA Satellite Tracking the Gulf Oil Spill

NASA Satellite Tracking the Gulf Oil Spill“. This is one of those off-topic posts that Anthony Watts spits out now and then to “prove” that he’s not merely obsessed with denying Global Warming. It’s just a copy and paste job of a NASA press release (which Anthony doesn’t link to) with satellite imaging of the massive oil spill coming from the destroyed BP Deepwater Horizon wellhead in the Gulf of Mexico.

It looks like this spill may rival the Alaskan Exxon Valdez spill of 1989. Can I say “Drill, baby, drill”?

NASA image of the BP Deepwater Horizon oil spill.

Anthony; do you really trust those nasty NASA satellites?