“Klotzbach and Gray: two week hurricane forecast“. Ric Werme tells us that atmospheric scientists Klotzbach and Gray expect a late-season blip in accumulated cyclone (aka hurricanes) energy in their Colorado State University Forecast of Atlantic Hurricane Activity but that denialist weatherman Joe Bastardi says, in The Reason for the Season and Why I Wasn’t Teasin’, that the worst is still to come.
North Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy. From Klotzbach and Gray.
Who to believe? Wait, this is just conflicting weather predictions, right? How come Anthony isn’t reporting the weather in my city? I feel left out. Suddenly I understand how Dr. Roger Pielke Sr. feels!
Wott's Up With That? 
I wonder what physical process causes that to not be a smooth curve…random.
Seems like someone should draw a best fit curve for pre 1970* and post 1970*
*or other cherry picked number if needed
[I’m not sure what the inputs are here, but I highly doubt a statistician would call the pattern random! A quick Google search pulls up this chart of “named” North Atlantic storms (BTW, I hate charts that don’t start at zero). – Ben]
No, I meant to see if the curve has changed shape or moved forward not to see if the total has changed. I presume warmer climate would make the storm season errr wider?
“random” is an expression of surprise/confusement
Example:
A:You is wearing odd shoes man!
B:I know. I like forgot innit?
A:Random.
B:Yeah.
Oh well, Ben more factually challenged wandering incoherent thoughts from Anthony and our friend Joe the Weatherman?
Perhaps they have chosen to ignore this 488 page book by James B Elsner and A Birol Kara, titled “Hurricanes of the North Atlantic: Climate and Society 1999 Oxford University Press http://www.amazon.com/Hurricanes-North-Atlantic-Climate-Society/dp/0195125088.
Ignorance is truly bliss, as they say.