Of Hawks and Handsaws

Of Hawks and Handsaws“. Willis Eschenbach, citizen-scientist, has more pretty pictures with data stuck on top of them. He’s figured out that if you slap a bunch of thick lines representing cyclic annual trends on top of each other and obscure their order, you can hide the incline pretty handily.

His expert eyeballing tells him that there’s an Urban Heat Island effect at work in Scandinavia! You betcha. And there’s nothing like a quote from Shakespeare to give an intellectual air to an empty argument. (The cheesy clip-art kind of undermines that though.)

Who needs to bother with statistical analysis when you can pull a powerful ‘intuitive’ conclusion like this from thin air? Italics mine:

At least part of the warming in the US and the NORDKLIM datasets is the result of UHI distortion of the records. An unknown but likely significant amount of this UHI heating is due to direct energy consumption in the cities.

You know what would give this claim some credibility? Credible statistics.

2 thoughts on “Of Hawks and Handsaws

  1. An intriguing take not of this real world though, since the source document also seems to take the so called UHI into effect as well. Now who would have thought those sneaky Scandinavians were thinking a long way ahead of WUWT crowd of home made ersatz scientists?

    The source in pdf can be found here without the pretty background stock pictures to obscure the relative scales :- report08_2001.pdf

    Oh well Willis better luck next time around 2100 may be or mostly likely not.

    Who benefits?

  2. “You know what would give this claim some credibility? Credible statistics.”

    Dare to dream. I tried to explain the concept of statistical significance to the “citizen-scientist” once. That’s hours of my life I will never get back.

    [Sometimes I think they just crave attention… – Ben]

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