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About Ben

I trained as a sedimentary geologist at a Canadian University, but have worked in the I.T. field as a programmer and manager for many years.

Yowzer! “sea ice extended to the equator 716.5 million years ago”

Yowzer! “sea ice extended to the equator 716.5 million years ago”. Anthony Watts offers this interesting report from Harvard University – Scientists find signs of ‘snowball Earth’. It states that sediments from the Canadian Arctic, which owing to plate tectonics were on the equator 700 million years ago, indicate that there have been periods of truly global sea ice coverage.

Gray carbonate sediments (tropical) underlying thinner dark brown glacially influenced sediments. I've done field work in this beautiful region.

Anthony wants to imply that this means that huge and rapid climate changes can easily have a natural cause. Unfortunately, in geological terms “rapid” means tens of thousands of years, not decades. Also these geological climate changes are the product of physical changes to the earth impacting atmospheric gases and hence climate. The fact that we are not seeing planetary changes driving the observed changes in atmospheric gases and climate is why there’s such a fuss being made about man-made influences.

February UAH global temperature anomaly – little change

February UAH global temperature anomaly – little change“. Dr. Roy Spencer admits that the globally averaged satellite record of lower atmosphere temperature is still going up. But he invokes Dr. John Christy’s rambling discussion of pending possible “corrections” to conclude that we should continue to ignore the trend.

Still going up, but there's no El Niño to excuse it...

Swedes call out Jones on data availability

Swedes call out Jones on data availability“. Anthony Watts wants us to think that The Stockholm Initiative is an objective scientific institution commenting honestly, and of course critically, on the Climategate false controversy.

In fact, The Stockholm Initiative is simply a collection of Swedish denialist cranks. They claim “For more than 20 years, a few dozen researchers, but above all, politicians and media, have spread the notion that carbon dioxide emissions will cause a global climate catastrophe.” (Their website was down while writing this, the quote is from Google’s cache.)

Ah, cranks with Photoshop and a poor grasp of English.

Their accusation is that Dr. Phil Jones was lying when he said that Sweden had refused to allow their climate data to be released. According to The Stockholm Initiative, it is actually already in the public domain.

This leads to some interesting questions. If this claim is true, why were the denialists demanding the Swedish data from Dr. Jones? Why did they never contact the original data holders? Why was their Freedom of Information demand necessary?

My answer is that they weren’t really interested in the data, they simply wanted to harass a researcher whose conclusions didn’t suit their agenda.

2010-03-17 Update: There’s a good look at this deception on Stoat. He draws attention to the fact that The Stockholm Initiative’s legal submission about the availability of the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute’s data is false. The data was not publicly available until a few days ago. Sadly, The Stockholm Initiative is out of reach of the British legal system.

Met Office ends season forecasts – no more “BBQ summers”

Met Office ends season forecasts – no more “BBQ summers. Anthony Watts points to a BBC report that the British Met Office will stop producing “seasonal” forecasts.

He wants his readers to think that difficulties with detailed long-range forecasts mean that climate predictions are impossible. Apples and oranges Anthony, apple and oranges.

Baltic sea ice traps ships

Baltic sea ice traps ships“. Ice exists, thus disproving man-made global warming. That’s Anthony Watts’ frequent refrain. Whatever.

Anthony also mentions Richard North’s post on the event, which cosily refers back to Anthony’s posts. It’s a pretty tight orbit in the denialosphere…

Ad hoc group wants to run attack ads

Ad hoc group wants to run attack ads“. At first I thought Anthony Watts was trying to help his “think tank” friends raise money for some more “CO² is good for you” TV spots, but he’s actually complaining about some scientists proposing to respond to attacks on conventional climatology research.

Stanford University biologist Paul R. Ehrlich says that “we’re in a street fight against well-funded, merciless enemies who play by entirely different rules”. True, true. It’s maddening to see the unchallenged denialist bunk that reaches the public. That’s one of the reasons for I started this humble website.

But I’m reminded of the George Bernard Shaw quote: I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig, you get dirty; and besides, the pig likes it.

Anthony, you’re the pig.

Scientists Locate Apparent Hydrothermal Vents off Antarctica

Scientists Locate Apparent Hydrothermal Vents off Antarctica“. Anthony Watts reprints this interesting Columbia University report so he can imply that this discovery somehow explains why the Antarctic is losing ice mass. It’s not man-made after-all! Whew.

Hydrothermal vents occur at tectonic plate boundaries. There aren’t any such zones underneath or along the coasts of Antarctica. Even if there are hydrothermal vents where Anthony wants them, such vents are oceanographically speaking insignificant point sources of heat. Go back to the wishful thinking/goofy idea cupboard and try again.

See any hydrothermal sites in Antarctica?

Joanne Simpson (1923-2010)

Dr. JoAnne Simpson

Joanne Simpson (1923-2010). Anthony Watts uses comments by Roger Pielke Sr. on the recent death of Dr. Simpson, a tropical meteorology specialist who stayed out of the climate change debate, to claim her as a denialist critic of climate change models. In spite of her abstention from the controversy.

Smooth.

Read more about Dr. Simpson at Rabett Run. Her biography is on the NASA website.

Spencer’s UHI -vs- population project – an update

Spencer’s UHI -vs- population project – an update“. Dr. Roy Spencer is already trying to re-explain yesterday’s proposed paper “proving” the nefarious Urban Heat Island effect. Anthony Watts characterizes it as “a unique and valuable analysis”, but I wouldn’t go further than “unique” myself.

Right off the bat he admits that, because it’s a too “difficult influence to correct for”, he hasn’t considered any of the local factors that are actually relevant to UHI. Details, details! His analysis is merely goofing around in Excel.

Dr. Spencer also says that he’s among those that “believe that much as 50% (or more) of the ‘global warming’ signal in the thermometer data” is a product of UHI. That’s a seriously fuzzy claim that leaves him lots of wiggle room. Too bad there have been objective statistical analyses trying to quantify just this idea and they’ve concluded that the bias is actually toward slightly under-reporting the warming. See Open Mind, Clear Climate Code, The Blackboard and Menne, 2010 (described at Skeptical Science).

How did he select his urban/rural station pairings? It seems to boil down to simple proximity, with no attempt to match geographical settings. This ignores an important environmental factor… Unless it is used behind the scenes to cherry-pick pairings for a particular result.

NSIDC Confirms WUWT Ice Forecast

NSIDC Confirms WUWT Ice Forecast” Anthony Watts teams up with the numerically challenged Steven Goddard to claim vindication for their “everything will be fine” prediction for Arctic sea ice extend in 2010. Why do these two keep pushing idiotically short, statistically meaningless trends? Maybe it’s because they’re unqualified partisans hunting for something to justify their biases.

2010 doesn't look like a "recovery" to me, Anthony!