Seven Eminent Physicists Skeptical of AGW

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“Seven Eminent Physicists Skeptical of AGW“. The secret’s out! Anthony Watts has been asked to post the truth about scientific consensus by Popular Technology.net, who promise “Impartial Analysis of Popular Trends and Technology” especially if you want some anti-nationalized health care or anti-marijuana info.

Seven Eminent Physicists; Freeman Dyson, Ivar Giaever (Nobel Prize), Robert Laughlin (Nobel Prize), Edward Teller, Frederick Seitz, Robert Jastrow and William Nierenberg, all skeptical of “man-made” global warming (AGW) alarm.

Wait, four of them are dead and the rest of them are ancient. Wait, none of them have published anything relevant in decades. Oh, I see. They’ve all “gone emeritus” (their egos and stature make them think they are authoritative way outside of their expertise).

Here’s an enlightening quote by Max Planck:

A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it.

Hey, doesn’t Monckton have a home-made “Nobel pin“? There are eight “eminent physicists” skeptical of AGW!

McIntyre on Stephen Schneider

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“McIntyre on Stephen Schneider“. Anthony Watts copies-and-pastes a post by the thin-skinned curmudgeon Stephen McIntyre, who complains that Climatologist Stephen Schneider, the editor of the journal Climatic Change who recently passed away, didn’t regard his extended pestering as “genial”. Well, that’s an illuminating complaint, isn’t it? Too bad McIntyre didn’t raise the issue a year ago when Schneider was alive and able to respond.

Here’s a quote from Schneider last year that McIntyre objects to:

A serial abuser of legalistic attacks was Stephen McIntyre a statistician who had worked in Canada for a mining company.

McIntyre’s post starts as a half-hearted remembrance before devolving into another in an endless series of complaint about perceived ill-treatment. C for effort but E for execution, Stephen.

Cold snap freezes South America – beaches whitened, some areas experience snow for the first time in living memory

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“Cold snap freezes South America – beaches whitened, some areas experience snow for the first time in living memory“. Anthony Watts wants us to know it’s cold somewhere (Chile) according to denialist website ICECAP, so everyone can ignore the reports that 2010 is so far the hottest year ever globally.

He prefixes the stupid with a disclaimer of sorts, but expects his readers to swallow the thing.

From the “weather is not climate” department, more chilling news from the southern hemisphere.

After all, Global Warming must mean that everything warms up all at once, right?

GRACE’s warts – new peer reviewed paper suggests errors and adjustments may be large

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That's a spicy meatball! Credit: U of Texas Center for Space Research

“GRACE’s warts – new peer reviewed paper suggests errors and adjustments may be large“. Anthony Watts copies-and-pastes a post from CO2 Science (the website for those tired of “alarmist global warming propaganda”). They report that denialists can safely ignore any troubling conclusions based on the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite, because there are “errors and biases” and “the GRACE data time series is still very short”. And of course any adjustments to correct these things are simply ‘tricks’.

Actually, that’s what the GRACE scientists themselves are saying in their 2010 Geophysical Journal International article, Uncertainty in ocean mass trends from GRACE. CO2 Science is taking routine scientific discussion about how to improve data analysis out of context and trying to use it to discredit that very effort. Here’s Quinn & Ponte’s abstract:

Ocean mass, together with steric sea level, are the key components of total observed sea level change. Monthly observations from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) can provide estimates of the ocean mass component of the sea level budget, but full use of the data requires a detailed understanding of its errors and biases. We have examined trends in ocean mass calculated from 6 yr of GRACE data and found differences of up to 1 mm yr−1 between estimates derived from different GRACE processing centre solutions. In addition, variations in post-processing masking and filtering procedures required to convert the GRACE data into ocean mass lead to trend differences of up to 0.5 mm yr−1. Necessary external model adjustments add to these uncertainties, with reported post-glacial rebound corrections differing by as much as 1 mm yr−1. Disagreement in the regional trends between the GRACE processing centres is most noticeably in areas south of Greenland, and in the southeast and northwest Pacific Ocean. Non-ocean signals, such as in the Indian Ocean due to the 2004 Sumatran-Andean earthquake, and near Greenland and West Antarctica due to land signal leakage, can also corrupt the ocean trend estimates. Based on our analyses, formal errors may not capture the true uncertainty in either regional or global ocean mass trends derived from GRACE.

So the controversy is… what exactly? That is a cool warty globe though.

Arctic Forecast Verification Update

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“Arctic Forecast Verification Update“. Arctic Sea Ice Extent has ticked upwards a bit faster than expected, so Steven Goddard has returned to arm-waving about how everything’s back to normal, just like he predicted by drawing a dashed line on some real data. Or should I say re-predicted. Oh great sage, why do you yap so much about short-term weather variables?

Steven's analysis-by-graphics-editor Arctic Sea Ice Extent prediction, complete with fuzzy pixel deletions.

GISS land and sea ratios revisited

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“GISS land and sea ratios revisited“. When Anthony Watts cross-posts a teammate’s refutation of an earlier post you know that it must have been the source of a lot of embarrassment.

Fellow-denialist Bob Tisdale explains, gently, how Frank Lansner’s ignorant beef about the way GISS produces global temperature estimates from land station records is baseless. Zeke did it better though.

Spot the differences? The "Trick" is revealed! From Climate Observations.

Tipping point at GISS? Land and sea weight out of balance

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“Tipping point at GISS? Land and sea weight out of balance“. Anthony Watts gives us Frank Lanser’s ill-informed assumptions about how GISS integrates land and sea temperature readings and hopes we’ll bite.

Frank maintains that GISS uses a land weighting of 67%, which is the reverse of the land/ocean ratio. They’re lying! Aussie dunce Joanne Nova is in enthusiastic agreement with Frank’s stunning discovery.

Except Frank, Joanne and Anthony have no clue what they’re talking about. Zeke explains it to them in mostly small words.

Get your ice here! New WUWT Sea Ice Machine

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“Get your ice here! New WUWT Sea Ice Machine“. Ever the helpful researcher, Anthony Watts has collected most of the sea ice graphs and charts into one page. I guess this will help Steven Goddard create his foolish pixel arguments.

Why the sudden return of sea ice to the discussion? Well the record downward Arctic sea ice trend has stopped plummetting quite so dramatically, so clearly global warming is over.

Those ticks up and down? Weather, Anthony. The downward multi-year trend? Climate, Anthony.

NOAA’s Jan-Jun 2010 Warmest Ever: Missing Data, False Impressions

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“NOAA’s Jan-Jun 2010 Warmest Ever: Missing Data, False Impressions“. Anthony Watts finds more denialist whining (by “Alan”) about the NOAA’s recent summary of 2010 global temperatures. Apparently “NOAA performs manipulations to create false impressions”. Also, how dare those scientists not space their temperature recording stations evenly across the planet!

I love how Anthony’s been sucked into Steven Goddard’s losing game of magnifying summary illustrations and arguing over the colour of each pixel. It’s a dunce’s game.